Hibernian vs Falkirk Head to Head, Prediction
Easter Road
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.71
Draw
3.82
Away Win
4.46
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hibernian
Hibernian rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hibernian a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 54.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.7% → 54.5%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.4%
+0.1 pts
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 21.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.0% → 21.1%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hibernian
Draw
Falkirk
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HibernianFalkirk
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
11th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
0.86
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
16.9
Shots/Game
10.7
4.4
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Hibernian at home (4 matches) vs Falkirk away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
0.75
0.75
Goals/Game
0.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hibernian
Home form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Falkirk
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hibernian Wins
3
Draws
1
Falkirk Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
Falkirk1 – 3Hibernian
Falkirk4 – 1Hibernian
Hibernian3 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 2Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 1Falkirk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hibernianvs
Falkirk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 54.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 54.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Hibernian's 10 matches and 3 of Falkirk's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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