Hibernian vs Hearts Head to Head, Prediction
Easter Road
Thu 03 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.59
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.77
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Hibernian
Hearts
13'
⚽ James wilson (Josh Mcpake)
43'
⚽ Laurent mendy (Blair Spittal)
Jack Iredale 🟨
45'
A. Major (Josh Mulligan) ⚽
51'
66'
⚽ Josh Mcpake (Jamie McCart)
Grant Hanley 🟨
85'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
17
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
8
16
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Hibernian (3-4-2-1)
R. Sallinger
J. Kerr
G. Hanley
J. Obita
F. Passlack
J. Mulligan
J. Devaney
J. McGrath
M. Boyle
C. Wright
N. Lowe
Hearts (4-4-2)
B. Reus
J. Altena
O. McEntee
S. Findlay
J. McCart
C. Miller
L. Mendy
B. Spittal
J. McPake
J. Wilson
Cláudio Braga
Player Ratings ?
Hibernian
A. MayorF7.9
J. MulliganM7.3
J. KerrD6.6
Hearts
L. MendyM8.2
J. WilsonF8.0
J. McPakeM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hearts edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Hibernian remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.5% → 37.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 27.9%
+0.8 pts
Hearts win
Latest market chance 34.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.4% → 34.6%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hibernian
Draw
Hearts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HibernianHearts
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
6th
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.67
Goals/Game
2.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.9
Shots/Game
16.3
4.4
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Hibernian at home (4 matches) vs Hearts away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.50
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hibernian
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hearts
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hibernian Wins
2
Draws
0
Hearts Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Hibernian1 – 2Hearts
Hearts1 – 0Hibernian
Hibernian3 – 2Hearts
Hearts1 – 0Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 1Hearts
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hibernianvs
Hearts
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 51.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 56.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Hibernian's 10 matches and 7 of Hearts's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?