St Johnstone vs Celtic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
McDiarmid Park
Wed 09 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.10
Draw
4.90
Away Win
1.48
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
St Johnstone
Celtic
52'
⚽ Mika Baur (Haissem Hassan)
Josh Campbell 🟨
55'
Reece McAlear 🟨
69'
82'
🟨 Liam Scales
90+4'
🟨 Mika Baur
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
9
2
Corner Kicks
11
13
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
St Johnstone (3-4-2-1)
T. Steward
M. Todd
D. Finlayson
C. Diabate
J. Campbell
R. McAlear
J. Holt
E. Alıç
Joel Cotterill
T. Steven
J. Fowler
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan
D. Murray
A. Trusty
L. Scales
C. McGregor
M. Baur
H. Hassan
O. Sørensen
S. Tounekti
K. Høgh
Player Ratings ?
St Johnstone
T. StewardG7.8
E. AlıçM6.9
C. DiabateD6.7
Celtic
M. BaurM8.2
H. HassanM7.7
S. JohnstoneG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celtic arrive with a flawless run of five wins from their last five away fixtures, while St Johnstone have secured three victories and suffered two defeats in their corresponding home outings over the same span. At home, the hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample period. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. St Johnstone won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 6 April 2025, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Celtic's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Celtic.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Celtic unbeaten run
15
Celtic points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Celtic
Celtic's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Celtic win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 15.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
16.7% → 15.2%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.1%
−0.7 pts
Celtic win
Latest market chance 64.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
62.5% → 64.8%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Celtic
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneCeltic
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
3.00
1.60
Goals/Game
2.60
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.60
10.6
Shots/Game
20.0
3.7
Shots on Target
8.3
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (4 matches) vs Celtic away (3 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
3.00
1.75
Goals/Game
2.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.67
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celtic
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
1
Draws
0
Celtic Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.8
St Johnstone1 – 0Celtic
Celtic4 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone0 – 6Celtic
Celtic3 – 1St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 3Celtic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Celtic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.6%→Latest 63.4%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 57.3%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of St Johnstone's 10 matches and 5 of Celtic's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?