St Johnstone vs Dundee United Head to Head, Prediction
McDiarmid Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.84
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Johnstone edge defence, Dundee United edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Johnstone slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 40.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.5% → 40.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.9%
±0.0 pts
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Dundee United
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneDundee United
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.14
1.29
Goals/Game
1.29
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.57
10.6
Shots/Game
15.9
3.7
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (4 matches) vs Dundee United away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.75
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee United
Away form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
2
Draws
0
Dundee United Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Dundee United1 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 2Dundee United
Dundee United2 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 2St Johnstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Dundee United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 54.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of St Johnstone's 10 matches and 3 of Dundee United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?