St Mirren vs Dundee United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The SMiSA Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.40
Draw
3.69
Away Win
2.85
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
St Mirren
Dundee United
6'
⚽ Jesse Randall (Daniel Bennie)
12'
⚽ Lyall Cameron (Idjessi Metsoko)
43'
🟨 Daniel Bennie
45'
⚽ Kevin Ciubotaru (Jesse Randall)
Jake Young 🟨
70'
80'
🟨 Will Ferry
Ryan Carr 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
10
Total Shots
13
0
Shots on Goal
9
4
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
St Mirren (4-2-3-1)
J. Chapman
C. Ramsay
A. Gogić
Henry Fieldson
D. John
R. Carr
F. Taylor
Ismeal Kabia
K. Phillips
P. Nsio
Eseosa Sule
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru
Zidane Iqbal
D. Tait
L. Cameron
J. Randall
I. Metsoko
D. Bennie
Player Ratings ?
St Mirren
J. ChapmanG7.0
J. FarquharF6.7
R. CarrM6.6
Dundee United
J. RandallF8.8
L. CameronM8.0
K. CiubotaruD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Mirren edge recent form, attack and defence, Dundee United edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee United have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while St Mirren sit with a similar tally of one victory and two draws in that same span at home. St Mirren have found the net in four of their last five home outings but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. St Mirren rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Dundee United rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, St Mirren's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Dundee United's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Dundee United
Dundee United's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dundee United win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. St Mirren remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.1% → 39.9%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.3%
−0.3 pts
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 33.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.3% → 33.8%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Mirren
Draw
Dundee United
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St MirrenDundee United
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.83
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
14.3
Shots/Game
15.9
3.9
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
St Mirren at home (4 matches) vs Dundee United away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
1.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Mirren
Home form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee United
Away form
L
D
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Mirren Wins
2
Draws
1
Dundee United Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
St Mirren1 – 1Dundee United
Dundee United2 – 1St Mirren
St Mirren2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United3 – 1St Mirren
Dundee United0 – 2St Mirren
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Mirrenvs
Dundee United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 58.4%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 61.3%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of St Mirren's 10 matches and 4 of Dundee United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?