Atalanta vs Bologna Head to Head, Prediction
New Balance Arena
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
3.67
Away Win
4.16
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Atalanta
Bologna
61'
🟨 D. Tedesco
N. Krstovic 🟨
73'
L. Samardzic (N. Zalewski) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
6
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Atalanta (4-3-3)
M. Carnesecchi
D. Zappacosta
O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini
S. Kolasinac
M. Pasalic
G. Gaetano
Ederson
C. De Ketelaere
G. Scamacca
G. Raspadori
Bologna (4-2-3-1)
L. Skorupski
E. Holm
E. Fauske Helland
T. Heggem
R. Alhassane
T. Pobega
L. Ferguson
F. Bernardeschi
J. Odgaard
N. Cambiaghi
R. Piccoli
Player Ratings ?
Atalanta
Marco CarnesecchiG8.2
Lazar SamardžićM7.7
Odilon KossounouD7.3
Bologna
Emil HolmD7.2
Eivind HellandD7.2
Torbjørn HeggemD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Atalanta edge head-to-head, recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atalanta slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Atalanta win
Latest market chance 50.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.0% → 50.1%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.6%
+0.1 pts
Bologna win
Latest market chance 23.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.5% → 23.3%
−0.2 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AtalantaBologna
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
14th
1
Games Played
1
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.8
Shots/Game
13.4
3.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Atalanta at home (3 matches) vs Bologna away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.33
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Atalanta
Home form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bologna
Away form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Atalanta Wins
2
Draws
1
Bologna Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Atalanta0 – 1Bologna
Bologna0 – 2Atalanta
Atalanta2 – 0Bologna
Bologna1 – 1Atalanta
Atalanta1 – 2Bologna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Atalantavs
Bologna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 49.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 53.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
9 of Atalanta's 10 matches and 9 of Bologna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?