Bologna vs Torino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.97
Draw
3.57
Away Win
4.06
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Bologna
Torino
F. Bernardeschi ⚽
14'
30'
🟨 Daniel Bragança
74'
🟨 Rafik Belghali
77'
⚽ S. Kulenovic (R. Mandragora)
78'
🟨 Nathan Patterson
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
11
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
6
18
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Bologna (3-4-3)
L. Skorupski
E. Fauske Helland
T. Heggem
A. Theate
N. Zortea
L. Ferguson
T. Pobega
J. Miranda
F. Bernardeschi
R. Piccoli
N. Cambiaghi
Torino (3-5-2)
Lucas Perri
E. Comert
A. Ismajli
S. Coco
N. Fortini
D. Braganca
R. Mandragora
K. Fitz-Jim
A. Cacciamani
G. Simeone
N. Vlasic
Player Ratings ?
Bologna
Federico BernardeschiF7.9
Juan MirandaM7.3
Lewis FergusonM7.2
Torino
Sandro KulenovićF8.0
Saúl CocoD7.5
Emirhan İlkhanM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bologna edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Torino edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Torino slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bologna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bologna stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bologna stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bologna have drawn three of their last five home outings, while Torino have won just once in that span away from home. The hosts have scored in two of their last five matches at this venue and kept a clean sheet once in the same period. Bologna face just one confirmed absence, whereas Torino carry three confirmed absences alongside one player under doubt. Torino hold a slight advantage in form, while Bologna rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Bologna won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Torino's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Bologna's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Torino's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Bologna
Bologna's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bologna win as less likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bologna win
Latest market chance 48.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
49.7% → 48.8%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 27.4%
+0.4 pts
Torino win
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.9%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bologna
Draw
Torino
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BolognaTorino
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
0.75
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
13.4
Shots/Game
9.4
3.2
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Bologna at home (3 matches) vs Torino away (3 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bologna
Home form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Torino
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bologna Wins
3
Draws
2
Torino Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Torino1 – 2Bologna
Bologna0 – 0Torino
Bologna3 – 2Torino
Torino0 – 2Bologna
Torino0 – 0Bologna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bolognavs
Torino
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.2%→Latest 47.1%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 50.9%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Bologna's 10 matches and 6 of Torino's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?