Como vs Parma Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.21
Draw
6.66
Away Win
14.55
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Como
Parma
J. Ramon (N. Paz) ⚽
23'
M. Caqueret 🟨
76'
Kaiki (M. Perrone) ⚽
83'
90+2'
⚽ D. Romero (P. Almqvist)
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
28
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
4
11
Corner Kicks
4
8
Fouls
4
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1)
Robert Sánchez
Yan Couto
Jacobo Ramón
Marc Kempf
Kaiki
Máximo Perrone
Lucas Da Cunha
Assane Diao
Nico Paz
Martin Baturina
Moise Kean
Parma (3-4-2-1)
Edoardo Corvi
Diego Carlos
Mariano Troilo
Enrico Delprato
Sascha Britschgi
Vincent Sierro
Mandela Keita
Emanuele Valeri
El Bilal Touré
Simone Lontani
Nesta Elphege
Player Ratings ?
Como
KaikiD8.2
Nico PazM8.2
Máximo PerroneM7.9
Parma
Edoardo CorviG8.3
David RomeroF7.3
Mariano TroiloD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Como a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Como stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Como have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Parma have recorded just a single win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Como face one confirmed absence, whereas Parma carry a single certain injury alongside three players listed as doubtful for selection. Como rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Como won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Parma's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Como's implied win probability has risen by 6.6 percentage points, while Parma's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Como a strong edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Como
Como's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Como win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Como win
Latest market chance 78.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
71.7% → 78.3%
+6.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.9% → 15.4%
−3.5 pts
Parma win
Latest market chance 6.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
9.5% → 6.3%
−3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Como
Draw
Parma
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ComoParma
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
17th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
0.33
2.33
Goals/Game
0.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
23.4
Shots/Game
8.2
7.2
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Como at home (1 match) vs Parma away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Como
Home form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Parma
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Como Wins
2
Draws
3
Parma Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.2
Como1 – 0Parma
Parma0 – 0Como
Parma0 – 1Como
Como1 – 1Parma
Como1 – 1Parma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Comovs
Parma
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 57.1%+6.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 40.6%→Latest 39.3%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Como's 10 matches and 7 of Parma's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?