Fiorentina vs Como Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.36
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.07
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Fiorentina edge head-to-head, giving Como a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fiorentina slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fiorentina win
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.3%
±0.0 pts
Como win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.7% → 45.7%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FiorentinaComo
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
2.00
1.20
Goals/Game
1.80
2.40
Conceded/Game
1.20
16.8
Shots/Game
23.4
5.6
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away Context
Fiorentina at home (3 matches) vs Como away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.75
0.67
Goals/Game
1.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fiorentina
Home form
D
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Como
Away form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fiorentina Wins
3
Draws
0
Como Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Como1 – 2Fiorentina
Fiorentina1 – 2Como
Fiorentina0 – 2Como
Como0 – 2Fiorentina
Como0 – 2Fiorentina
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fiorentinavs
Como
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 57.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 59.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Fiorentina's 10 matches and 5 of Como's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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