Frosinone vs Como Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.56
Draw
4.48
Away Win
1.51
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Frosinone
Como
G. Calo (R. Schmid) ⚽
14'
34'
🟨 Yan Couto
Giorgi Kvernadze 🟨
45+1'
G. Kvernadze (R. Schmid) ⚽
45'
Gabriele Bracaglia 🟨
56'
Antonio Raimondo 🟨
90+2'
90+4'
🟨 Assane Diao
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
22
Total Shots
27
6
Shots on Goal
8
7
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
6
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Frosinone (4-2-3-1)
L. Palmisani
A. Oyono
G. Calvani
I. Monterisi
G. Bracaglia
G. Calo
P. Masini
F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo
Como (4-2-3-1)
J. Butez
Y. Couto
J. Ramon
T. Chalobah
A. Valle
L. Milla
L. Da Cunha
A. Diao
N. Paz
M. Baturina
A. Douvikas
Player Ratings ?
Frosinone
Lorenzo PalmisaniG10.0
Giorgi KvernadzeM8.3
Giacomo CalòM8.0
Como
Nico PazM7.2
Anastasios DouvikasF7.2
Jacobo RamónD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Frosinone edge head-to-head, Como edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Como have enjoyed a positive run of form away from home with four wins and a draw in their last five outings, while Frosinone head into this Serie A fixture at home having suffered three defeats in the same period. At home, Frosinone have scored in just two of their last five matches and kept a clean sheet only once during that span. The hosts face no confirmed absences but carry one player under doubt, whereas Como have one certain absence while remaining clear of any injury concerns. Como rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Frosinone rate stronger on head-to-head. Frosinone won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 4 February 2023, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Como's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.25 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Frosinone's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points, while Como's implied win probability has risen by 6.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Como
Como's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Como win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Frosinone win
Latest market chance 15.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.6% → 15.8%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.1% → 21.1%
−3.0 pts
Como win
Latest market chance 63.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
57.2% → 63.2%
+6.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Frosinone
Draw
Como
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FrosinoneComo

Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
2.50
1.75
Goals/Game
2.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.8
Shots/Game
23.4
5.6
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away Context
Frosinone at home (3 matches) vs Como away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
1.67
Goals/Game
1.75
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
67%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Frosinone
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Como
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Frosinone Wins
3
Draws
0
Como Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Como0 – 2Frosinone
Frosinone2 – 0Como
Frosinone1 – 2Como
Como0 – 2Frosinone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Frosinonevs
Como

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 64.2%+6.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 59.9%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Frosinone's 10 matches and 6 of Como's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?