Frosinone vs Sassuolo Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.90
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Frosinone edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Frosinone stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Frosinone win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.9% → 39.0%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.7%
±0.0 pts
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 33.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.4% → 33.3%
−0.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FrosinoneSassuolo
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
1.40
1.80
Goals/Game
1.80
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
16.8
Shots/Game
17.2
5.6
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away Context
Frosinone at home (3 matches) vs Sassuolo away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.33
1.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Frosinone
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sassuolo
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Frosinone Wins
2
Draws
1
Sassuolo Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Sassuolo0 – 1Frosinone
Frosinone1 – 2Sassuolo
Sassuolo1 – 0Frosinone
Frosinone4 – 2Sassuolo
Sassuolo2 – 2Frosinone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Frosinonevs
Sassuolo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.7%→Latest 60.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.2%→Latest 64.4%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Frosinone's 10 matches and 5 of Sassuolo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?