Genoa vs Como Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.61
Draw
3.57
Away Win
1.74
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Genoa
Como
Milutin Osmajić (Lorenzo Colombo) ⚽
19'
25'
⚽ Martin Baturina (Álex Valle)
30'
⚽ Assane Diao Diaoune
Djibril Sow 🟨
36'
40'
⚽ Nico Paz (Yan Couto)
60'
🟨 Martin Baturina
Leo Østigård 🟨
62'
78'
⚽ Assane Diao Diaoune (Moise Kean)
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Goal
9
5
Corner Kicks
4
8
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Genoa (3-4-1-2)
J. Bijlow
A. Marcandalli
L. Østigård
M. Ellertsson
S. Sabelli
D. Sow
J. Vásquez
T. Baldanzi
M. Frendrup
L. Colombo
M. Osmajić
Como (4-2-3-1)
J. Butez
Yan Couto
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
T. Chalobah
Álex Valle
M. Perrone
L. da Cunha
Assane Diao
N. Paz
M. Baturina
T. Douvikas
Player Ratings ?
Genoa
M. OsmajićF7.9
L. ColomboF7.1
J. BijlowG7.0
Como
Assane DiaoM9.5
N. PazM8.2
Yan CoutoD7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Como
Como rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Como a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Como stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Como stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Como stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Como stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Como
Como's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Como win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genoa win
Latest market chance 18.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.4% → 18.5%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 27.5%
−0.6 pts
Como win
Latest market chance 54.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
52.5% → 54.1%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genoa
Draw
Como
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenoaComo
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
8th
2
Games Played
2
0.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.8
Shots/Game
23.4
3.0
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away Context
Genoa at home (3 matches) vs Como away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.75
0.67
Goals/Game
1.75
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.25
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genoa
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Como
Away form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genoa Wins
0
Draws
3
Como Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Genoa0 – 2Como
Como1 – 1Genoa
Como1 – 0Genoa
Genoa1 – 1Como
Como2 – 2Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genoavs
Como
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
7/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.3%→Latest 47.5%+6.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.6%→Latest 50.0%+5.4 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Genoa's 10 matches and 8 of Como's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?