Inter vs Napoli Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
3.98
Away Win
5.66
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Inter
Napoli
35'
🟨 Antonio Vergara
50'
⚽ M. Politano
53'
⚽ R. Hojlund (G. Di Lorenzo)
L. Martinez (F. Dimarco) ⚽
56'
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
68'
77'
🟨 Rafa Marín
M. Thuram (Carlos Augusto) ⚽
82'
L. Martinez (M. Akanji) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
29
Total Shots
16
8
Shots on Goal
7
10
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Inter (3-5-2)
J. Martinez
Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
A. Bastoni
A. Diouf
N. Barella
P. Zielinski
P. Sucic
F. Dimarco
F. Esposito
L. Martinez
Napoli (4-3-3)
A. Meret
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Rrahmani
R. Marin
L. Spinazzola
F. Anguissa
S. Lobotka
A. Vergara
M. Politano
R. Hojlund
Alisson Santos
Player Ratings ?
Inter
Lautaro MartínezF8.9
Andy DioufM8.2
Federico DimarcoM7.9
Napoli
Matteo PolitanoF7.3
Rasmus HøjlundF7.3
Alisson SantosF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inter edge recent form and attack, Napoli edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Napoli slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Inter
Inter's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inter win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter win
Latest market chance 58.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.0% → 58.3%
+4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
26.5% → 24.6%
−1.9 pts
Napoli win
Latest market chance 17.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.5% → 17.1%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inter
Draw
Napoli
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
InterNapoli
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
10th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
23.2
Shots/Game
13.8
7.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Inter at home (3 matches) vs Napoli away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
4.00
Goals/Game
1.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Napoli
Away form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Wins
0
Draws
4
Napoli Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Inter2 – 2Napoli
Napoli3 – 1Inter
Napoli1 – 1Inter
Inter1 – 1Napoli
Inter1 – 1Napoli
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Intervs
Napoli
Recent Scoring Profile
2.80
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.0%→Latest 47.8%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 48.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Inter's 10 matches and 8 of Napoli's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?