Inter vs Udinese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.25
Draw
6.44
Away Win
11.25
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 3
Match Events ?
Inter
Udinese
9'
⚽ J. Abankwah (U. Gomez)
16'
⚽ J. Ekkelenkamp (K. Davis)
Carlos Augusto ⚽
26'
N. Barella (M. Thuram) ⚽
35'
45'
🟨 K. Davis
M. Thuram (A. Diouf) ⚽
57'
H. Mkhitaryan 🟨
60'
F. Esposito (P. Zielinski) ⚽
67'
A. Bonny ⚽
79'
90'
⚽ I. Gueye (V. Bayo)
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
27
Total Shots
6
12
Shots on Goal
5
10
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martínez
Manuel Akanji
John Stones
Alessandro Bastoni
Andy Diouf
Nicolò Barella
Piotr Zieliński
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Carlos Augusto
Marcus Thuram
Pio Esposito
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
Maduka Okoye
James Abankwah
Christian Kabasele
Enzo Ebosse
Mërgim Vojvoda
Jesper Karlström
Lennon Miller
Hassane Kamara
Unai Gómez
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
Keinan Davis
Player Ratings ?
Inter
Nicolò BarellaM8.7
Marcus ThuramF8.7
Carlos AugustoM8.2
Udinese
Maduka OkoyeG8.7
Jürgen EkkelenkampF7.6
Idrissa GueyeF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inter
Inter rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Inter a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inter slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter arrive at home unbeaten in their last five outings with four wins and a draw, while Udinese have managed three victories from five away matches but also suffered a defeat during that same span. The Nerazzurri have scored in every one of their last five home games yet have kept just two clean sheets within that identical period. Inter face no confirmed absences but carry two players with doubts, whereas Udinese must manage five confirmed outcasts alongside one doubtful selection for their visitors. Inter rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Inter won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Udinese's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, Inter's implied win probability has risen by 5.0 percentage points, while Udinese's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Inter a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Inter points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Inter
Inter's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inter win as more likely than it did 10 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter win
Latest market chance 76.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
71.8% → 76.8%
+5.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.0% → 15.4%
−2.6 pts
Udinese win
Latest market chance 7.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
10.1% → 7.8%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inter
Draw
Udinese
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
InterUdinese
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
13th
3
Games Played
3
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
2.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
23.2
Shots/Game
14.2
7.4
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Inter at home (3 matches) vs Udinese away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
4.00
Goals/Game
3.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
3.50
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Udinese
Away form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Wins
4
Draws
0
Udinese Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Udinese0 – 1Inter
Inter1 – 2Udinese
Inter2 – 1Udinese
Udinese2 – 3Inter
Udinese1 – 2Inter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Intervs
Udinese
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 62.0%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.6%→Latest 47.3%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Inter's 10 matches and 7 of Udinese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?