Lecce vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Via del Mare
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.69
Draw
4.37
Away Win
1.47
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 4
Match Events ?
Lecce
Roma
4'
⚽ D. Malen
9'
🟨 Donyell Malen
23'
⚽ D. Malen (Wesley Franca)
25'
⚽ M. Soule
65'
⚽ R. Mora (G. Mancini)
Ivan Ilić 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Offsides
9
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Lecce (3-5-2)
W. Falcone
J. Siebert
K. Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel
D. Veiga
L. Coulibaly
O. Ngom
O. Gorter
C. Ndaba
S. Pierotti
W. Geubbels
Roma (3-4-2-1)
M. Svilar
D. Ghilardi
G. Mancini
M. Hermoso
E. Lulli
M. Kone
B. Cristante
Wesley Franca
P. Dybala
M. Soule
D. Malen
Player Ratings ?
Lecce
Lassana CoulibalyM7.3
Wladimiro FalconeG6.7
Amar FatahF6.6
Roma
Mario HermosoD8.3
Paulo DybalaF8.2
Gianluca ManciniD8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lecce win
Latest market chance 12.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.5% → 12.3%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.4% → 22.3%
−0.1 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 65.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.0% → 65.4%
+0.4 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LecceRoma
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
7th
1
Games Played
1
3.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
4.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
8.4
Shots/Game
20.6
3.4
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Lecce at home (2 matches) vs Roma away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
1.50
Goals/Game
3.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lecce
Home form
W
L
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
5 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lecce Wins
0
Draws
1
Roma Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.8
Roma1 – 0Lecce
Lecce0 – 2Roma
Lecce0 – 1Roma
Roma4 – 1Lecce
Lecce0 – 0Roma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leccevs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
5/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 47.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 43.4%→Latest 43.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
9 of Lecce's 10 matches and 9 of Roma's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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