Parma vs Monza Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.53
Draw
3.13
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Parma
Monza
38'
⚽ J. Robinson (R. Mangas)
41'
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
S. Lontani ⚽
60'
Mandela Keita 🟨
66'
68'
🟨 Leonardo Colombo
Pontus Almqvist 🟨
83'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
7
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
3
16
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Parma (3-4-2-1)
E. Corvi
E. Delprato
Diego Carlos
M. Troilo
S. Britschgi
C. Ordonez
M. Keita
E. Valeri
G. Fabbian
E. B. Toure
D. Romero
Monza (3-4-2-1)
D. Thiam
E. Kouadio
L. Lucchesi
A. Carboni
S. Birindelli
M. Folorunsho
E. Akinsanmiro
R. Mangas
O. Forson
J. Robinson
D. Mota
Player Ratings ?
Parma
Edoardo CorviG8.2
Simone LontaniF7.9
Emanuele ValeriM7.2
Monza
Jay RobinsonF8.2
Demba ThiamG7.3
Eddy KouadioD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Parma
Parma rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Parma a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Parma stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Parma
Parma's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Parma win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Parma win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.5% → 37.7%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.7% → 30.9%
+0.2 pts
Monza win
Latest market chance 31.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.8% → 31.4%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Parma
Draw
Monza
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ParmaMonza
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
17th
2
Games Played
2
0.00
Points/Game
0.00
0.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
3.50
8.2
Shots/Game
14.4
2.8
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Parma at home (3 matches) vs Monza away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.67
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Parma
Home form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Monza
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Parma Wins
1
Draws
3
Monza Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.8
Monza1 – 1Parma
Parma2 – 1Monza
Monza1 – 1Parma
Parma0 – 0Monza
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Parmavs
Monza
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.40
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.7%→Latest 40.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 48.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Parma's 10 matches and 8 of Monza's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?