Roma vs Genoa Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Olimpico
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.30
Draw
5.59
Away Win
9.06
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Roma win
Latest market chance 73.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
73.0% → 73.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.5% → 17.5%
±0.0 pts
Genoa win
Latest market chance 9.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
9.4% → 9.4%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RomaGenoa
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
19th
5
Games Played
5
2.60
Points/Game
0.20
2.80
Goals/Game
0.60
0.60
Conceded/Game
2.00
20.6
Shots/Game
11.8
7.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Roma at home (3 matches) vs Genoa away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
2.67
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Roma
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Genoa
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Roma Wins
3
Draws
1
Genoa Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Genoa2 – 1Roma
Roma3 – 1Genoa
Roma3 – 1Genoa
Genoa1 – 1Roma
Roma1 – 0Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Romavs
Genoa
Recent Scoring Profile
2.70
Goals scored / game
0.40
0.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 58.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.7%→Latest 46.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Roma's 10 matches and 5 of Genoa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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