Udinese vs Lecce Head to Head, Prediction
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.85
Draw
3.64
Away Win
4.20
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Udinese edge attack and head-to-head, Lecce edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lecce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Udinese stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Udinese stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Udinese win
Latest market chance 50.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.4% → 50.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.8%
±0.0 pts
Lecce win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 22.8%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
UdineseLecce
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
12th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.20
1.60
Goals/Game
1.00
2.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
14.2
Shots/Game
8.4
4.8
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Udinese at home (3 matches) vs Lecce away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
0.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Udinese
Home form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lecce
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Udinese Wins
4
Draws
0
Lecce Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Lecce2 – 1Udinese
Udinese3 – 2Lecce
Lecce0 – 1Udinese
Udinese1 – 0Lecce
Lecce0 – 2Udinese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Udinesevs
Lecce
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 49.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Udinese's 10 matches and 5 of Lecce's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?