Venezia vs Lazio Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.96
Draw
3.73
Away Win
1.94
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Venezia
Lazio
John Yeboah •
17'
Kike Pérez 🟨
29'
51'
⚽ (P) M. Zaccagni
Juan Jesus 🟨
59'
60'
⚽ T. Noslin (N. Tavares)
Thierry Correia 🟨
74'
Matias Moreno 🟨
90+2'
Joel Schingtienne 🟨
90+1'
Toni Fernández 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
8
6
Yellow Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Venezia (3-5-2)
F. Stankovic
J. Schingtienne
Juan Jesus
M. Moreno
A. Hainaut
K. Perez
S. Sohm
T. J. Helgason
T. Correia
J. Yeboah
A. Adams
Lazio (4-3-3)
C. Mandas
R. Floriani
J. Sutalo
O. Provstgaard
N. Tavares
D. Frattesi
R. Belahyane
K. Taylor
M. Cancellieri
T. Noslin
M. Zaccagni
Player Ratings ?
Venezia
Akor AdamsF7.7
Matias MorenoD6.9
Kike PérezM6.9
Lazio
Christos MandasG8.9
Nuno TavaresD8.5
Matteo CancellieriF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lazio
Lazio rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Lazio a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lazio slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lazio stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lazio have enjoyed a solid away run with four wins from their last five outings, whereas Venezia have struggled at home with just one win in that same span. Venezia have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Concerns remain for Venezia with seven players out and one doubtful, while Lazio face similar issues with four unavailable and another under doubt. Lazio rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Venezia's implied win probability has fallen by 10.9 percentage points, while Lazio's implied win probability has risen by 12.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Lazio a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Venezia losing run
3
Venezia points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Lazio
Lazio's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Lazio win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Venezia win
Latest market chance 24.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.3% → 24.4%
−10.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.1% → 26.3%
−1.8 pts
Lazio win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.6% → 49.3%
+12.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Venezia
Draw
Lazio
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeneziaLazio
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
4th
4
Games Played
4
0.00
Points/Game
2.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
14.0
Shots/Game
12.8
4.4
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Venezia at home (3 matches) vs Lazio away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Venezia
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lazio
Away form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Venezia Wins
0
Draws
1
Lazio Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.0
Venezia0 – 0Lazio
Lazio3 – 1Venezia
Lazio1 – 0Venezia
Venezia1 – 3Lazio
Lazio4 – 2Venezia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veneziavs
Lazio
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 54.8%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 57.3%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Venezia's 10 matches and 6 of Lazio's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?