Benevento vs Cesena Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.63
Away Win
4.02
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Benevento edge recent form and attack, Cesena edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cesena slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cesena have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Benevento have secured two victories and suffered a single defeat in their five home appearances. Benevento have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Benevento rate stronger on form and attack, while Cesena hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benevento win
Latest market chance 50.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.1% → 50.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.4%
±0.0 pts
Cesena win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.6%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BeneventoCesena
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
1.40
1.20
Goals/Game
1.40
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.20
14.6
Shots/Game
12.0
3.6
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Benevento at home (3 matches) vs Cesena away (2 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benevento
Home form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cesena
Away form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benevento Wins
1
Draws
0
Cesena Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Cesena4 – 1Benevento
Benevento2 – 1Cesena
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beneventovs
Cesena
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 55.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Benevento's 10 matches and 5 of Cesena's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?