Benevento vs Verona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.98
Draw
3.11
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Benevento
Verona
Edoardo·Pierozzi (Davide Lamesta) ⚽
17'
24'
⚽ Amin Sarr (andrea le borgne)
32'
🟨 Amin Sarr
Christian Kouan 🟨
48'
David Okereke (Mattia Maita) ⚽
59'
63'
🟨 Seid Korac
Davide Lamesta (Christian Kouan) ⚽
65'
Antonis Siatounis 🟨
74'
88'
🟨 Salvatore Cerbone
Francesco Salvemini 🟨
90'
90'
🟨 Tomas Suslov
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
9
10
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Benevento (4-3-2-1)
G. Vannucchi
E. Pierozzi
S. Scognamillo
P. Saio
L. Sernicola
A. Siatounis
M. Maita
C. Kouan
D. Lamesta
D. Okereke
F. Salvemini
Verona (4-3-3)
N. Leali
G. Zappa
S. Korač
A. Edmundsson
D. Bradarić
E. Iannoni
A. Bernede
A. Le Borgne
M. Compagnon
S. Mulattieri
A. Sarr
Player Ratings ?
Benevento
D. LamestaM8.6
D. OkerekeM7.9
M. MaitaM7.5
Verona
A. SarrF7.8
A. Le BorgneM7.4
E. IannoniM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Verona edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Verona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Verona have found consistency elusive on the road in their last five outings, recording just three draws alongside two defeats away from home, while Benevento look more stable at this venue with one win and three draws from their most recent five matches. The hosts have scored in every single home game during this run but remain vulnerable defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches at the ground. Verona rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Benevento
Benevento's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Benevento win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Verona remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benevento win
Latest market chance 33.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 33.1%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.6% → 30.1%
−0.5 pts
Verona win
Latest market chance 36.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.7% → 36.9%
−1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Benevento
Draw
Verona
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BeneventoVerona
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
0.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
2.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.6
Shots/Game
16.2
3.6
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Benevento at home (3 matches) vs Verona away (2 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.50
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benevento
Home form
D
D
W
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Verona
Away form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benevento Wins
2
Draws
0
Verona Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Benevento0 – 3Verona
Verona3 – 1Benevento
Verona0 – 3Benevento
Benevento0 – 1Verona
Benevento3 – 0Verona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beneventovs
Verona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 47.0%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 53.2%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Benevento's 10 matches and 7 of Verona's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?