Carrarese vs Benevento Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio dei Marmi
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.98
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.45
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Carrarese
Benevento
6'
🟨 Antonis Siatounis
Gabriele parlanti 🟨
61'
66'
⚽ Antonio prisco
66'
🟨 Antonio prisco
85'
🟨 Christian Kouan
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
4
11
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Carrarese (3-5-2)
S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
F. Reale
C. Dagba
J. Martini
Nicolás Schiavi
T. Rubino
J. Rouhi
G. Marconi
F. Abiuso
Benevento (4-3-2-1)
G. Vannucchi
E. Pierozzi
S. Scognamillo
P. Saio
L. Sernicola
A. Siatounis
M. Maita
C. Kouan
D. Lamesta
D. Okereke
F. Salvemini
Player Ratings ?
Carrarese
Nicolás SchiaviM7.0
F. RuggeriD6.9
S. PizzignaccoG6.8
Benevento
A. PriscoM7.6
M. MaitaM7.2
C. KouanM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Carrarese edge defence, Benevento edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benevento stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Carrarese stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Benevento have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw in their last five away fixtures, while Carrarese look more stable at home with a win and two draws from their corresponding five outings. Carrarese have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that same period. Benevento rate stronger on form and attack, while Carrarese rate stronger on defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Carrarese win
Latest market chance 32.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.3% → 32.5%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.4%
+0.1 pts
Benevento win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.4% → 39.1%
−0.3 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CarrareseBenevento
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
16th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
12.2
Shots/Game
14.6
3.2
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Carrarese at home (3 matches) vs Benevento away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.50
0.33
Goals/Game
0.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Carrarese
Home form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Benevento
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Benevento.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Carraresevs
Benevento
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 50.3%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 56.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Carrarese's 10 matches and 6 of Benevento's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?