Juve Stabia vs Cesena Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Romeo Menti
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.30
Draw
3.40
Away Win
3.21
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Juve Stabia
Cesena
24'
🟨 Cristian Shpendi
30'
⚽ Cristian Shpendi (Dimitri Bisoli)
Antonio Di Nardo (Fabio Maistro) ⚽
65'
67'
🟨 Dimitri Bisoli
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
15
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
21
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Juve Stabia (3-5-1-1)
P. Boer
T. Maggioni
N. Pietrangeli
M. Bellich
Nicola Patanè
N. Karić
D. Buglio
C. Pierobon
T. Douglas
L. Candellone
Antonio Di Nardo
Cesena (4-3-3)
A. Siano
A. Ciofi
M. Ilić
J. Gelli
M. Mangraviti
D. Bisoli
R. Pagano
M. Guidi
G. Frabotta
C. Shpendi
A. Fiori
Player Ratings ?
Juve Stabia
Antonio Di NardoF7.8
T. MaggioniD7.4
F. MaistroM7.1
Cesena
C. ShpendiF7.8
J. GelliD7.2
M. IlićD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Juve Stabia edge head-to-head, recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juve Stabia stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cesena have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Juve Stabia have managed one victory alongside two draws in their corresponding home sample. At home, Juve Stabia have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Juve Stabia rate stronger on head-to-head, while form, attack and defence are closely matched. Juve Stabia won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Cesena's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Juve Stabia's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Cesena's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Juve Stabia win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Juve Stabia win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
40.3% → 41.5%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 28.7%
−0.5 pts
Cesena win
Latest market chance 29.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.5% → 29.8%
−0.7 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Juve StabiaCesena
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
8th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
0.75
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
14.8
Shots/Game
12.0
4.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Juve Stabia at home (2 matches) vs Cesena away (2 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Juve Stabia
Home form
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cesena
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Juve Stabia Wins
3
Draws
1
Cesena Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Juve Stabia2 – 0Cesena
Cesena1 – 1Juve Stabia
Cesena1 – 2Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia1 – 0Cesena
Cesena1 – 0Juve Stabia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Juve Stabiavs
Cesena
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.9%→Latest 50.1%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 55.2%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Juve Stabia's 10 matches and 6 of Cesena's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?