Pisa vs Virtus Entella Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.80
Draw
3.35
Away Win
5.32
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Pisa
Virtus Entella
2'
⚽ Bernat Guiu (Andrea Franzoni)
32'
⚽ Luigi Cuppone (Bernat Guiu)
Mehdi Léris 🟥
35'
45+2'
⚽ Andrea Franzoni
Omar Correia (Andrea Primasso) ⚽
73'
78'
🟨 Luca Parodi
80'
⚽ M Tirelli (Luca Parodi)
Andrea Primasso 🟨
90+1'
90+3'
🟨 Stefano Di Mario
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
4
7
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Pisa (4-3-3)
A. Confente
A. Calabresi
S. Canestrelli
F. Coppola
S. Angori
İ. Vural
G. Leone
O. Correia
M. Léris
A. Petagna
M. Tramoni
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
F. Del Frate
L. Parodi
M. Alborghetti
I. Marconi
L. Vignali
A. Franzoni
N. Squizzato
L. Benedetti
Stefano Di Mario
L. Cuppone
Bernat Guiu
Player Ratings ?
Pisa
O. CorreiaM8.2
F. PittarelloF6.7
G. LeoneM6.7
Virtus Entella
Bernat GuiuF9.0
A. FranzoniM8.7
L. CupponeF8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge recent form and attack, Virtus Entella edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Virtus Entella slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have secured three wins from their last five home outings, while visitors Virtus Entella remain winless in four of their five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that same span. Pisa rate stronger on form and attack, while Virtus Entella hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Pisa
Pisa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Pisa win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pisa win
Latest market chance 55.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.0% → 55.0%
+4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.6% → 27.5%
−1.1 pts
Virtus Entella win
Latest market chance 17.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.4% → 17.5%
−2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Pisa
Draw
Virtus Entella
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PisaVirtus Entella
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
16th
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
0.33
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
16.2
Shots/Game
14.8
6.8
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Pisa at home (3 matches) vs Virtus Entella away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pisa
Home form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Virtus Entella
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pisa Wins
1
Draws
2
Virtus Entella Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Pisa3 – 2Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella2 – 1Pisa
Virtus Entella1 – 1Pisa
Pisa0 – 2Virtus Entella
Pisa1 – 1Virtus Entella
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pisavs
Virtus Entella
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.4%→Latest 43.3%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.4%→Latest 45.1%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Pisa's 10 matches and 7 of Virtus Entella's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?