Sampdoria vs Catanzaro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Luigi Ferraris
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.32
Away Win
3.69
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
17'
🟨 Pietro Lemmello
Liam Henderson 🟨
17'
Stefan Gartenmann 🟨
38'
45+2'
⚽ (OG) Stefan Gartenmann
Lorenzo Insigne (Tobias Lauritsen) ⚽
56'
Oliver Abildgaard 🟥
64'
66'
🟨 N'Dri Koffi
75'
🟨 Samuel Giovane
Tjas Begic ⚽
85'
Kevin Mbabu 🟨
90+5'
90+6'
🟨 Matias Antonini Lui
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
17
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
5
17
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Sampdoria (4-3-2-1)
P. Vindahl
A. Di Pardo
S. Gartenmann
F. Delli Carri
M. Cicconi
L. Henderson
A. Makoumbou
O. Abildgaard
Y. Verschaeren
L. Insigne
T. Lauritsen
Catanzaro (3-4-2-1)
M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini
M. Imperiale
M. Dorval
J. Petriccione
N. Mosti
G. Alesi
S. Pafundi
P. Iemmello
N. Koffi
Player Ratings ?
Sampdoria
L. InsigneM8.1
T. BegićF7.8
T. LauritsenF7.7
Catanzaro
M. RuggeroD6.9
M. PigliacelliG6.8
M. ImperialeD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sampdoria edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Catanzaro edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sampdoria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Catanzaro stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sampdoria stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sampdoria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sampdoria have secured three victories from their last five home outings, whereas Catanzaro have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, yet they have only kept two clean sheets during that same period. Sampdoria rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head, while Catanzaro rate stronger on attack. The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Catanzaro losing run
50%
Catanzaro yellow cards after 75'
3
Catanzaro points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sampdoria win
Latest market chance 45.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.5% → 45.4%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.2%
±0.0 pts
Catanzaro win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.4%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SampdoriaCatanzaro
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
18th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
0.75
0.75
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
16.4
Shots/Game
13.8
5.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Sampdoria at home (2 matches) vs Catanzaro away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sampdoria
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Catanzaro
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sampdoria Wins
1
Draws
4
Catanzaro Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Catanzaro0 – 0Sampdoria
Sampdoria0 – 0Catanzaro
Catanzaro2 – 2Sampdoria
Sampdoria3 – 3Catanzaro
Catanzaro1 – 3Sampdoria
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sampdoriavs
Catanzaro
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.6%→Latest 47.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Sampdoria's 10 matches and 6 of Catanzaro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?