Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.16
Away Win
3.18
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Asteras Tripolis edge recent form and defence, Atromitos edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Asteras Tripolis stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Asteras Tripolis slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atromitos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Atromitos have recorded just one win and a draw from their last five away outings, while Asteras Tripolis have managed two draws and a solitary victory in their corresponding home sample. Asteras Tripolis have scored in only two of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Asteras Tripolis rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Atromitos hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Asteras Tripolis won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Atromitos's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Asteras Tripolis's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Atromitos's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Asteras Tripolis losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
Team Availability
Asteras Tripolis
No current absences reported
Atromitos
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Asteras Tripolis win as more likely than it did 21 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 39.1%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 30.2%
±0.0 pts
Atromitos win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.1% → 30.6%
−1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
17 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
Atromitos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
12th
6
Games Played
5
0.50
Points/Game
0.40
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.40
11.6
Shots/Game
11.6
4.4
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Asteras Tripolis at home (3 matches) vs Atromitos away (2 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
0.50
0.33
Goals/Game
0.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Asteras Tripolis
Home form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Atromitos
Away form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Asteras Tripolis Wins
2
Draws
0
Atromitos Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.6
2026-05-022025-2026
Asteras Tripolis4 – 2Atromitos
2026-04-262025-2026
Atromitos2 – 1Asteras Tripolis
2026-02-212025-2026
Asteras Tripolis1 – 2Atromitos
2025-11-302025-2026
Atromitos0 – 1Asteras Tripolis
2025-05-032024-2025
Asteras Tripolis1 – 4Atromitos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Asteras Tripolis
vs
Atromitos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
66.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
41.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
22.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.6%→Latest 41.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 48.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Asteras Tripolis's 10 matches and 5 of Atromitos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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