Atromitos vs AEK Head to Head, Prediction
Peristeri Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
8.25
Draw
4.45
Away Win
1.38
Match Prediction
Data favours
AEK
AEK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AEK an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AEK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AEK stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Atromitos win
Latest market chance 11.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
11.3% → 11.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.0% → 21.0%
±0.0 pts
AEK win
Latest market chance 67.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
67.7% → 67.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Atromitos
Draw
AEK
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AtromitosAEK
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
6
0.40
Points/Game
2.33
0.80
Goals/Game
2.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
0.67
11.6
Shots/Game
17.2
3.0
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Atromitos at home (3 matches) vs AEK away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Atromitos
Home form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
AEK
Away form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Atromitos Wins
0
Draws
1
AEK Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.6
Atromitos2 – 2AEK
AEK4 – 1Atromitos
AEK2 – 1Atromitos
Atromitos0 – 1AEK
Atromitos0 – 5AEK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Atromitosvs
AEK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 52.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.3%→Latest 45.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Atromitos's 10 matches and 4 of AEK's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?