Iraklis vs Atromitos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Kaftanzoglio Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.93
Draw
2.99
Away Win
2.72
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Iraklis
Atromitos
Kylian Kaiboue 🟨
10'
Vitor Meer 🟨
19'
24'
⚽ Sotiris Tsiloulis
31'
🟨 Sotiris Tsiloulis
38'
🟨 Juan José Perea
60'
🟨 S. Pnevmonidis
Pedro Marques ⚽
73'
Ivi López 🟨
77'
85'
🟨 Dimitrios Stavropoulos
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
6
Total Shots
7
1
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
0
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
Starting Lineups
Iraklis (5-4-1)
G. Athanasiadis
Carles Soria
P. Vouros
Piña
Vitor Meer
Nanu
R. Nizet
V. Sourlis
K. Kaïboué
Y. Roche
E. Koljić
Atromitos (4-2-3-1)
L. Choutesiotis
M. Mountes
D. Stavrópoulos
H. Magnússon
J. Uronen
T. Tsingaras
S. Moutoussamy
S. Tsiloulis
S. Zuber
L. Lyratzis
J. Perea
Player Ratings ?
Iraklis
Pedro MarquesF8.9
V. SourlisM6.7
NanuD6.6
Atromitos
S. TsiloulisM7.0
T. KaramanisD6.7
S. ZuberM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Iraklis edge recent form, Atromitos edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Iraklis stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atromitos stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Atromitos have recorded two victories in their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Iraklis remain unbeaten at home with three draws and two wins from a similar recent sample. Iraklis have found the net in all five of their home outings, though they have conceded to end only one clean sheet within that same short-term window. Iraklis rate stronger on form, while Atromitos rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Iraklis
Iraklis's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Iraklis win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Atromitos remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Iraklis win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.5% → 32.9%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.3% → 30.5%
+1.2 pts
Atromitos win
Latest market chance 36.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.2% → 36.6%
+0.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+2+10−1Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Iraklis
Draw
Atromitos
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Iraklis
Atromitos
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
7.8
Shots/Game
11.6
1.4
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Iraklis at home (1 match) vs Atromitos away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Iraklis
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Atromitos
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Iraklis Wins
2
Draws
0
Atromitos Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.6
2017-03-052016-2017
Atromitos1 – 0Iraklis
2016-10-232016-2017
Iraklis1 – 2Atromitos
2016-02-292015-2016
Atromitos1 – 0Iraklis
2015-11-022015-2016
Iraklis2 – 0Atromitos
2011-01-092010-2011
Iraklis1 – 0Atromitos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Iraklis
vs
Atromitos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
68.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
42.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
23.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
50.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.9%→Latest 42.7%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 50.0%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Iraklis's 10 matches and 7 of Atromitos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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