Kalamata vs Panathinaikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
9.81
Draw
5.84
Away Win
1.30
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Kalamata
Panathinaikos
33'
⚽ Andrews Tetteh
Julio Alonso 🟨
42'
44'
🟨 Kings Kangwa
Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira 🟨
73'
J. Cataldi 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
6
15
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Kalamata (5-3-2)
N. Vasiljević
P. Kaloutsikidis
M. J. Bakayoko
S. Stroungis
Rodrigues
Julio Alonso
E. Hamza
G. Piñeiro
D. Diarra
J. Bolívar
A. Mendes Moreira
Panathinaikos (4-1-4-1)
Iñaki Peña
D. Calabria
S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen
G. Kiriakopoulos
E. Camara
L. García
K. Kangwa
A. Ounahi
Santino Andino
A. Tetteh
Player Ratings ?
Kalamata
N. VasiljevićG7.7
G. PiñeiroM6.9
A. Mendes MoreiraF6.7
Panathinaikos
Iñaki PeñaG7.6
A. TettehF7.6
S. de VrijD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Panathinaikos stronger
Panathinaikos rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Panathinaikos stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Panathinaikos have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Kalamata boast three victories in that same span at home. At this venue, the hosts have found the net in four of their last five outings but have conceded in all save for one clean sheet during that period. Panathinaikos rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2000. Over the 6-day comparison window, Kalamata's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points, while Panathinaikos's implied win probability has risen by 7.6 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Panathinaikos stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Panathinaikos win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 10.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
13.0% → 10.0%
−3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
22.3% → 17.7%
−4.6 pts
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 72.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
64.7% → 72.3%
+7.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kalamata
Draw
Panathinaikos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KalamataPanathinaikos
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
3.00
1.20
Goals/Game
2.40
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.40
11.6
Shots/Game
19.6
3.8
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away Context
Kalamata at home (4 matches) vs Panathinaikos away (3 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
3.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.33
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.00
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kalamata
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panathinaikos
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kalamata Wins
0
Draws
1
Panathinaikos Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.8
Kalamata0 – 1Panathinaikos
Kalamata0 – 0Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos5 – 0Kalamata
Kalamata0 – 2Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos1 – 0Kalamata
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kalamatavs
Panathinaikos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 57.7%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.3%→Latest 47.4%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Kalamata's 10 matches and 5 of Panathinaikos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?