Levadeiakos vs Olympiakos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Levadia Municipal Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
10.88
Draw
5.22
Away Win
1.31
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Levadeiakos
Olympiakos
Giannis Kosti 🟨
18'
Giorgos Nikas 🟨
23'
51'
🟨 Jota Silva
65'
🟨 David Carmo
Alexandru Grigoraş Pantea 🟨
72'
90+2'
⚽ Manolis Saliakas (Remo Freuler)
Match Statistics ?
29%
Ball Possession
71%
8
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
9
17
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Levadeiakos (4-2-3-1)
N. Eliasi
A. Pantea
G. Kornezos
I. Tsivelekidis
M. Vichos
G. Nikas
I. Kosti
G. Vrakas
A. Urzi
M. Balde
M. Cobnan
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1)
S. Ortega
M. Pedersen
P. Retsos
David Carmo
N. Tiknizyan
G. Puerta
R. Freuler
Jota Silva
Chiquinho
K. Fortounis
R. Yaremchuk
Player Ratings ?
Levadeiakos
G. KornezosD7.1
I. TsivelekidisD6.9
A. UrziM6.8
Olympiakos
S. OrtegaG8.2
M. SaliakasD8.2
P. RetsosD7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Olympiakos
Olympiakos rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Olympiakos a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Olympiakos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Olympiakos have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Levadeiakos have recorded two victories in their last five home fixtures. Levadeiakos have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same recent sequence. Olympiakos rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Levadeiakos's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Olympiakos's implied win probability has risen by 4.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Olympiakos a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Olympiakos
Olympiakos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Olympiakos win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levadeiakos win
Latest market chance 10.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
12.5% → 10.1%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.5% → 19.0%
−2.5 pts
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 70.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
66.0% → 70.9%
+4.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levadeiakos
Draw
Olympiakos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Levadeiakos
Olympiakos
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
5th
5
Games Played
5
0.20
Points/Game
2.00
0.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.80
Conceded/Game
0.40
9.2
Shots/Game
19.2
1.6
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Levadeiakos at home (4 matches) vs Olympiakos away (4 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
2.50
0.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.25
0%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levadeiakos
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Olympiakos
Away form
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levadeiakos Wins
0
Draws
2
Olympiakos Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-09-192026-2027
Levadeiakos0 – 1Olympiakos
2026-02-142025-2026
Levadeiakos0 – 0Olympiakos
2025-09-272025-2026
Olympiakos3 – 2Levadeiakos
2025-02-022024-2025
Levadeiakos0 – 1Olympiakos
2024-10-202024-2025
Olympiakos2 – 2Levadeiakos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levadeiakos
vs
Olympiakos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
7/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
41.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.9%→Latest 50.5%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 40.6%−5.2 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Levadeiakos's 10 matches and 5 of Olympiakos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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