OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripolis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.25
Draw
3.17
Away Win
3.57
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
OFI Crete
Asteras Tripolis
Giannis Apostolakis (Andreas Bouchalakis) ⚽
18'
24'
⚽ Federico Macheda (Alejandro·Mendez Garcia)
30'
🟨 Dimitrios Laskaris
Borja González 🟨
48'
50'
⚽ Kalvin Ketu
59'
🟨 Federico Macheda
Thiago Nuss 🟨
65'
Georgios Kanellopoulos 🟨
78'
Nikolaos Athanasiou (Krešimir Krizmanić) ⚽
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
17
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
OFI Crete (3-4-2-1)
N. Christogeorgos
K. Kostoulas
A. Poungouras
K. Krizmanić
Borja González
G. Kanellópoulos
A. Bouchalakis
G. Apostolakis
T. Chatzigiovanis
T. Nuss
A. Leya
Asteras Tripolis (3-4-3)
N. Papadopoulos
D. Laskaris
F. Brorsson
J. Silva
G. Kotsiras
D. Kourbelis
Eder González
Alex Méndez
J. Bartolo
F. Macheda
K. Ketu
Player Ratings ?
OFI Crete
N. AthanasiouD7.8
A. BouchalakisM7.3
G. ApostolakisM7.2
Asteras Tripolis
F. MachedaF7.7
K. KetuF7.6
Alex MéndezM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. OFI Crete edge recent form, attack and defence, Asteras Tripolis edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
OFI Crete stronger
HomeAway
Attack
OFI Crete slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
OFI Crete stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Asteras Tripolis stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
OFI Crete have enjoyed a solid run at home with four victories from their last five outings, while Asteras Tripolis have found it harder on the road with just one win in that same span. The hosts have been active in front of goal, finding the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. OFI Crete rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Asteras Tripolis rate stronger on head-to-head. OFI Crete won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 11 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Asteras Tripolis's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, OFI Crete's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Asteras Tripolis's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Asteras Tripolis losing run
12
OFI Crete points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. OFI Crete remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
OFI Crete win
Latest market chance 42.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
43.2% → 42.4%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.7% → 30.1%
+1.4 pts
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 27.5%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
OFI Crete
Draw
Asteras Tripolis
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OFI CreteAsteras Tripolis
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
12th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
0.40
1.60
Goals/Game
0.80
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
10.8
Shots/Game
11.6
3.6
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
OFI Crete at home (4 matches) vs Asteras Tripolis away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.33
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
OFI Crete
Home form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Asteras Tripolis
Away form
L
D
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
OFI Crete Wins
1
Draws
1
Asteras Tripolis Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
OFI Crete2 – 2Asteras Tripolis
OFI Crete4 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis3 – 0OFI Crete
OFI Crete0 – 2Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis2 – 1OFI Crete
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
OFI Cretevs
Asteras Tripolis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.2%→Latest 41.2%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 47.7%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of OFI Crete's 10 matches and 5 of Asteras Tripolis's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?