Olympiakos vs OFI Crete Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.21
Draw
6.98
Away Win
11.55
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Olympiakos
OFI Crete
Lorenzo Pirola 🟨
60'
66'
⚽ Kenan Kodro (Nikolaos Athanasiou)
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
20
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1)
S. Ortega
M. Pedersen
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
N. Tiknizyan
G. Puerta
R. Freuler
Jota Silva
Chiquinho
K. Fortounis
A. González
OFI Crete (3-4-2-1)
N. Christogeorgos
K. Kostoulas
A. Poungouras
D. Nikolaou
L. Dickmann
T. Androutsos
A. Bouchalakis
N. Athanasiou
T. Fountas
Aitor Cantalapiedra
K. Kodro
Player Ratings ?
Olympiakos
S. OrtegaG7.8
P. RetsosD7.1
G. PuertaM6.9
OFI Crete
K. KodroF8.0
N. AthanasiouM7.7
N. ChristogeorgosG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Olympiakos
Olympiakos rate stronger in defence and head-to-head; recent form and attack are closely matched, giving Olympiakos a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Olympiakos have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five home outings, while OFI Crete have managed just a single win and a draw in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, yet they have also kept three clean sheets during that same recent period. Olympiakos rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. Olympiakos won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 14 March 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to OFI Crete's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Olympiakos a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Olympiakos
Olympiakos's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Olympiakos win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 77.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
78.7% → 77.9%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.2% → 14.4%
+0.2 pts
OFI Crete win
Latest market chance 7.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.1% → 7.7%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Olympiakos
Draw
OFI Crete
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OlympiakosOFI Crete
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
0.67
19.2
Shots/Game
10.8
5.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Olympiakos at home (2 matches) vs OFI Crete away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Olympiakos
Home form
D
L
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
OFI Crete
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Olympiakos Wins
5
Draws
0
OFI Crete Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
OFI Crete0 – 3Olympiakos
Olympiakos3 – 0OFI Crete
Olympiakos1 – 0OFI Crete
OFI Crete0 – 2Olympiakos
Olympiakos4 – 0OFI Crete
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Olympiakosvs
OFI Crete
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.20
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.0%→Latest 62.5%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.6%→Latest 45.1%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Olympiakos's 10 matches and 7 of OFI Crete's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?