Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Head to Head, Prediction
Olympic Stadium of Athens
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.26
Draw
5.35
Away Win
11.10
Match Prediction
Data favours
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Panathinaikos an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 73.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
73.9% → 73.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.6% → 17.6%
±0.0 pts
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 8.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
8.5% → 8.5%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Panathinaikos
Draw
Asteras Tripolis
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.17
Goals/Game
1.00
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.83
19.6
Shots/Game
11.6
7.8
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Panathinaikos at home (3 matches) vs Asteras Tripolis away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.67
3.00
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.33
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Panathinaikos
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Asteras Tripolis
Away form
D
W
L
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Panathinaikos Wins
4
Draws
0
Asteras Tripolis Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Asteras Tripolis1 – 2Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos2 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis0 – 1Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos0 – 1Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos2 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Panathinaikosvs
Asteras Tripolis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 56.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.9%→Latest 42.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Panathinaikos's 10 matches and 4 of Asteras Tripolis's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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