Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Olympic Stadium of Athens
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.28
Draw
5.80
Away Win
10.94
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
Vicente Taborda ⚽
14'
19'
🟨 Nikola Stajic
Etiene Camara 🟨
33'
Azzedine Ounahi ⚽
39'
67'
🟨 Gustav Granath
Davide Calabria ⚽
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
12
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
2
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
Starting Lineups
Panathinaikos (4-2-3-1)
Iñaki Peña
D. Calabria
S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen
G. Kiriakopoulos
I. Louza
E. Camara
V. Taborda
A. Ounahi
Santino Andino
C. Dessers
Panetolikos (4-1-4-1)
Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias
G. Granath
N. Stajić
A. Apostolopoulos
G. Satsias
K. Aleksić
N. Eraković
A. Bassi
M. Djenepo
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
Player Ratings ?
Panathinaikos
V. TabordaM7.9
A. OunahiM7.9
D. CalabriaD7.7
Panetolikos
K. OpokuF6.7
Youssouph BadjiNone6.3
José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Panathinaikos edge attack and head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Panetolikos have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Panathinaikos mirror that exact tally of two victories and two draws in their corresponding home sample. At home, Panathinaikos have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that same period. Panathinaikos rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Panathinaikos's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points, while Panetolikos's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Panathinaikos win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 74.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
71.0% → 74.0%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.2% → 17.1%
−2.1 pts
Panetolikos win
Latest market chance 8.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
9.8% → 8.9%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Panathinaikos
Draw
Panetolikos
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PanathinaikosPanetolikos
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
2nd
3
Games Played
3
3.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.67
Goals/Game
2.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
19.6
Shots/Game
8.0
7.8
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Panathinaikos at home (3 matches) vs Panetolikos away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
3.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Panathinaikos
Home form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panetolikos
Away form
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Panathinaikos Wins
4
Draws
1
Panetolikos Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Panathinaikos0 – 0Panetolikos
Panetolikos1 – 2Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos2 – 0Panetolikos
Panetolikos1 – 2Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos2 – 1Panetolikos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Panathinaikosvs
Panetolikos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 56.7%+4.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.4%→Latest 44.3%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Panathinaikos's 10 matches and 7 of Panetolikos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?