Panetolikos vs PAOK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Panetolikos Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.78
Draw
4.25
Away Win
1.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Panetolikos
PAOK
Gustav Granath 🟨
30'
33'
⚽ Taha Ali (Kristijan Jakić)
39'
⚽ Cherif Ndiaye (Abdul Rahman Baba)
Konstantinos Thymianis 🟨
40'
Diego Esteban ⚽
51'
Marvelous Nakamba 🟨
65'
Yannis Anastasiou 🟨
70'
Diego Esteban 🟨
81'
89'
🟨 Kristijan Jakić
90+5'
🟨 Abdul Rahman Baba
90+8'
⚽ Shola Shoretire (Ognjen ugresic)
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
2
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
22
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Panetolikos (4-2-3-1)
Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias
G. Granath
K. Thymianis
A. Apostolopoulos
M. Nakamba
L. Kojić
K. Opoku
N. Eraković
M. Djenepo
Youssouph Badji
PAOK (4-2-3-1)
J. Pavlenka
J. Kenny
Elustondo
G. Michailidis
A. Baba
C. Zafeiris
K. Jakić
A. Živković
D. Pelkas
T. Ali
C. Ndiaye
Player Ratings ?
Panetolikos
Diego EstebanM6.6
José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF6.4
K. AleksićF6.3
PAOK
C. NdiayeF8.1
T. AliM7.5
S. ShoretireF7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Panetolikos edge defence, PAOK edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PAOK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Panetolikos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PAOK have recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while Panetolikos manage two wins from their corresponding home sample. Panetolikos have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have kept just a single clean sheet during that same period. PAOK rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Panetolikos rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. PAOK won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 10 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Panetolikos's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Panetolikos's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points, while PAOK's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards PAOK
PAOK's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a PAOK win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Panetolikos win
Latest market chance 15.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.3% → 15.0%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 23.0%
−1.5 pts
PAOK win
Latest market chance 62.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
60.2% → 62.0%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Panetolikos
Draw
PAOK
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PanetolikosPAOK
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
2nd
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
2.40
1.60
Goals/Game
2.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
8.0
Shots/Game
12.2
2.8
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Panetolikos at home (4 matches) vs PAOK away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
2.25
1.75
Goals/Game
2.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Panetolikos
Home form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PAOK
Away form
D
D
W
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Panetolikos Wins
0
Draws
1
PAOK Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.0
Panetolikos1 – 3PAOK
Panetolikos0 – 3PAOK
PAOK0 – 0Panetolikos
Panetolikos0 – 1PAOK
PAOK2 – 0Panetolikos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Panetolikosvs
PAOK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 52.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.5%→Latest 50.0%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Panetolikos's 10 matches and 5 of PAOK's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?