PAOK vs Kalamata Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Toumba Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.25
Draw
5.35
Away Win
12.00
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PAOK edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PAOK have enjoyed a solid run at home with three victories and two draws from their last five outings, whereas Kalamata have secured just two wins alongside a single draw and two defeats in their away matches over the same span. At home, PAOK have found the net in four of their last five matches while also keeping three clean sheets during that identical five-game period. PAOK rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2000. The market has remained broadly steady over the 21-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
PAOK
No current absences reported
Kalamata
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 21 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PAOK win
Latest market chance 75.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
75.0% → 75.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.4% → 17.4%
±0.0 pts
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 7.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.6% → 7.6%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
17 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
PAOK
Draw
Kalamata
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PAOK
Kalamata
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
2.50
Points/Game
0.67
2.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.2
Shots/Game
11.6
4.2
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
PAOK at home (2 matches) vs Kalamata away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
3.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PAOK
Home form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Kalamata
Away form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PAOK Wins
3
Draws
2
Kalamata Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
2000-02-131999-2000
Kalamata1 – 1PAOK
1999-09-261999-2000
PAOK4 – 2Kalamata
1998-02-081997-1998
Kalamata1 – 1PAOK
1997-09-281997-1998
PAOK4 – 0Kalamata
1997-02-091996-1997
PAOK2 – 0Kalamata
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PAOK
vs
Kalamata
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
41.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 57.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 41.4%→Latest 41.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of PAOK's 10 matches and 4 of Kalamata's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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