Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Alanya Oba Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.94
Draw
3.12
Away Win
3.70
Match Prediction
Data favours
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Alanyaspor a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Erzurumspor arrive at this fixture with a difficult away record, having recorded just one draw from their last five outings across seasons, while Alanyaspor look more comfortable at home with two wins and two draws in that same span. The hosts have scored in five consecutive matches at home but have only managed a single clean sheet during that identical period, suggesting they will be involved in an open contest. Alanyaspor rate stronger on form, attack and defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Alanyaspor a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Erzurumspor yellow cards after 75'
1
Erzurumspor points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Alanyaspor
No current absences reported
Erzurumspor
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 47.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.0% → 47.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.5%
±0.0 pts
Erzurumspor win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.5%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Alanyaspor
Erzurumspor
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
14th
8
Games Played
7
1.88
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
0.43
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.00
10.8
Shots/Game
9.0
3.0
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
Alanyaspor at home (3 matches) vs Erzurumspor away (4 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.25
1.67
Goals/Game
0.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alanyaspor
Home form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Erzurumspor
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alanyaspor
vs
Erzurumspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
66.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
41.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
22.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.8%→Latest 41.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Alanyaspor's 10 matches and 3 of Erzurumspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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