Amedspor vs Besiktas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Diyarbakir Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.54
Draw
4.08
Away Win
1.75
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Amedspor
Besiktas
G. Orban ⚽
13'
D. Saba (G. Orban) ⚽
22'
M. Khalil 🟨
26'
E. Krasniqi 🟨
33'
38'
🟨 I. Fakili
D. Bates 🟨
45+1'
46'
🟨 M. Murillo
55'
⚽ D. Vlahovic
58'
🟨 E. Agbadou
F. Soyalp ⚽
59'
L. Dellova 🟨
64'
A. Cisse 🟨
78'
A. Cisse 🟨
84'
A. Cisse 🟥
84'
A. Lafont 🟨
90+2'
90+8'
⚽ (P) O. Kokcu
90+8'
🟨 E. Topcu
M. Yesil 🟨
90+8'
90+8'
🟨 O. Kokcu
R. Raveloson 🟨
90+10'
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
10
Total Shots
21
8
Shots on Goal
8
1
Corner Kicks
10
25
Fouls
7
9
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Amedspor (4-2-3-1)
Alban Lafont
Ermal Krasniqi
Lumbardh Dellova
David Robert Bates
Umut Meraş
Furkan Soyalp
Rayan Raveloson
Samuel Ballet
Dia Saba
Mohamed Khalil
Gift Orban
Besiktas (4-1-4-1)
Alexander Nübel
Amir Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou
Tiago Djaló
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Salih Özcan
Ernest Poku
Junior Olaitan
Orkun Kökçü
İlhan Fakılı
Dušan Vlahović
Player Ratings ?
Amedspor
Gift OrbanF8.2
Furkan SoyalpM7.5
Alban LafontG7.3
Besiktas
Orkun KökçüM7.9
Alexander NübelG7.2
Emmanuel AgbadouD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Amedspor edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Amedspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Amedspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Amedspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Amedspor have secured three wins from their last three home outings, while Besiktas have recorded two victories and a draw in five away fixtures across seasons. At home, Amedspor have scored in all three of their most recent matches but have also kept two clean sheets during the same period. Amedspor face one confirmed absence and one doubtful player ahead of this fixture, whereas Besiktas will be without one squad member with no doubts registered. Amedspor hold a slight advantage in form and attack and defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Amedspor's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Besiktas's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
73%
Amedspor yellow cards after 75'
9
Amedspor points from last 3 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Amedspor
Amedspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Amedspor win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Besiktas remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Amedspor win
Latest market chance 21.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.9% → 21.7%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.9%
±0.0 pts
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 54.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.2% → 54.5%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Amedspor
Draw
Besiktas
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AmedsporBesiktas
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
2.50
2.40
Goals/Game
2.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
14.7
Shots/Game
17.8
5.2
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Amedspor at home (4 matches) vs Besiktas away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.25
Goals/Game
1.33
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Amedspor
Home form
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for Amedspor.
3.33
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.33
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
2/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Besiktas
Away form
L
W
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Amedspor and Besiktas.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Amedsporvs
Besiktas
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/5
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
2/5
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/5
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 59.9%+4.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 59.3%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Amedspor have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Besiktas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?