Besiktas vs Erzurumspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Besiktas Park
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.24
Draw
6.43
Away Win
12.79
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Besiktas
Erzurumspor
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
15'
E. Topcu (O. Kokcu) ⚽
21'
Kassoum Ouattara 🟨
26'
L. Trossard (Oh Hyeon-Gyu) ⚽
27'
Salih Özcan 🟨
66'
Y. Kirtay ⚽ (OG)
81'
Match Statistics ?
74%
Ball Possession
26%
21
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
1
10
Corner Kicks
1
11
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Besiktas (4-1-4-1)
A. Nubel
M. Murillo
E. Agbadou
E. Topcu
K. Ouattara
S. Ozcan
V. Cerny
J. Olaitan
O. Kokcu
L. Trossard
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Erzurumspor (5-4-1)
E. Taskiran
O. Ovacikli
A. Gerxhaliu
M. Yumlu
N. Mujakic
G. Giorbelidze
M. Cardoso
B. Baiye
E. Owusu
M. Rodriguez
E. Tozlu
Player Ratings ?
Besiktas
Emirhan TopçuD8.9
Leandro TrossardM8.5
Amir MurilloD7.6
Erzurumspor
Ertuğrul TaşkıranG7.2
Eren TozluF6.9
Festy EboseleD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Besiktas stronger
Besiktas rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Besiktas stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Besiktas have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Erzurumspor remain winless in five away fixtures with just two draws to their name. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue but have also kept two clean sheets in that same sample. Besiktas rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2001. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Besiktas stronger overall.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Besiktas
Besiktas's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Besiktas win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 77.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
71.3% → 77.0%
+5.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.6% → 15.3%
−3.3 pts
Erzurumspor win
Latest market chance 7.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
10.2% → 7.7%
−2.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Besiktas
Draw
Erzurumspor
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BesiktasErzurumspor

Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
4
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
17.8
Shots/Game
9.0
6.3
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
Besiktas at home (4 matches) vs Erzurumspor away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.25
3.25
Goals/Game
0.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Besiktas
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Erzurumspor
Away form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Besiktas Wins
4
Draws
0
Erzurumspor Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
Besiktas2 – 0Erzurumspor
Erzurumspor1 – 3Besiktas
Erzurumspor1 – 4Besiktas
Besiktas2 – 0Erzurumspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Besiktasvs
Erzurumspor

Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 63.4%+8.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.9%→Latest 45.8%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Besiktas's 10 matches and 6 of Erzurumspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?