Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Rams Park
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.30
Draw
5.92
Away Win
9.85
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
16'
🟨 S. Inan
22'
🟨 A. Dijksteel
D. Gul 🟨
56'
A. Bardakci (A. Batrakov) ⚽
71'
A. Bardakci 🟨
72'
R. Sallai 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
29
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
1
16
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Galatasaray (4-2-3-1)
Uğurcan Çakır
Roland Sallai
Davinson Sánchez
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Eren Elmalı
Lucas Torreira
Gabriel Sara
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Yunus Akgün
Rafael Leão
Deniz Gül
Kocaelispor (4-3-3)
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
Tanguy Zoukrou
Matej Maglica
Massadio Haïdara
Berkan Kutlu
Show
Mahamadou Susoho
Gonçalo Sousa
Florian Ayé
Dan Agyei
Player Ratings ?
Galatasaray
Abdülkerim BardakcıD8.5
Roland SallaiD7.9
Davinson SánchezD7.9
Kocaelispor
Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD7.7
Serhat ÖztaşdelenG7.5
Matej MaglicaD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Galatasaray edge recent form and attack, Kocaelispor edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Galatasaray stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Galatasaray stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kocaelispor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Kocaelispor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Galatasaray have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Kocaelispor have found it tougher away from the ground with just one win and one draw in that same span. The hosts have scored in five of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet in that identical period. Galatasaray face four confirmed absences while Kocaelispor have two certain out and one player listed as doubtful ahead of the match. Galatasaray rate stronger on form and attack, while Kocaelispor rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Galatasaray's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points, while Kocaelispor's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Galatasaray
Galatasaray's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Galatasaray win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Galatasaray win
Latest market chance 72.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
74.8% → 72.0%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
16.7% → 17.6%
+0.9 pts
Kocaelispor win
Latest market chance 10.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
8.5% → 10.3%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Galatasaray
Draw
Kocaelispor
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GalatasarayKocaelispor
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
4
Games Played
4
2.50
Points/Game
2.25
3.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.75
22.7
Shots/Game
12.3
7.7
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Galatasaray at home (3 matches) vs Kocaelispor away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Galatasaray
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kocaelispor
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Galatasaray Wins
2
Draws
1
Kocaelispor Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Galatasaray1 – 1Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor1 – 0Galatasaray
Galatasaray2 – 5Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor1 – 4Galatasaray
Kocaelispor0 – 1Galatasaray
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Galatasarayvs
Kocaelispor
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.8%→Latest 61.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 50.1%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Galatasaray's 10 matches and 6 of Kocaelispor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?