Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.84
Draw
4.34
Away Win
1.56
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Gaziantep
Fenerbahce
U. Meleke 🟨
4'
83'
🟨 I. Kahveci
A. Kizildag 🟨
83'
84'
🟨 V. Muriqi
M. Abena 🟨
84'
84'
🟨 O. Aydin
S. Hansen 🟨
90+2'
Starting Lineups
Gaziantep
K. Tobiasz
L. Perez
A. Kizildag
M. Abena
K. Calhanoglu
U. Meleke
D. Sorescu
V. Gidado
A. Maxim
K. Kozlowski
H. Dervisoglu
Fenerbahce
Ederson
M. Muldur
M. Skriniar
N. Ake
A. Brown
N. Kante
I. Yuksek
M. Guendouzi
M. Greenwood
R. Lukaku
K. Akturkoglu
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Fenerbahce a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fenerbahce slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fenerbahce arrive with three wins from their last five away outings, whereas Gaziantep have secured just a solitary victory in their last five home matches. Gaziantep have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have managed only a single clean sheet across that same sample. Gaziantep carry four absentees into the match, while Fenerbahce have two players unavailable for selection. Fenerbahce rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Fenerbahce won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 17 March 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Gaziantep's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 7-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Fenerbahce a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 7 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gaziantep win
Latest market chance 16.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.9% → 16.5%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 22.5%
±0.0 pts
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 60.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.6% → 60.9%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gaziantep
Draw
Fenerbahce
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GaziantepFenerbahce
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
11th
5
Games Played
5
1.60
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.60
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.20
13.0
Shots/Game
18.3
3.3
Shots on Target
7.7
Home vs Away Context
Gaziantep at home (4 matches) vs Fenerbahce away (4 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.25
0.50
Goals/Game
0.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gaziantep
Home form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fenerbahce
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gaziantep Wins
0
Draws
1
Fenerbahce Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Gaziantep0 – 0Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce4 – 1Gaziantep
Gaziantep0 – 4Fenerbahce
Gaziantep1 – 3Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce3 – 1Gaziantep
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gaziantepvs
Fenerbahce
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 54.7%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Gaziantep's 10 matches and 5 of Fenerbahce's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?