Rizespor vs Fenerbahce Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.37
Draw
4.03
Away Win
1.74
Match Prediction
Data favours
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Fenerbahce a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fenerbahce arrive at this away fixture with two wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Rizespor have recorded two victories alongside a draw and two defeats in their corresponding home sample. At home, Rizespor have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Fenerbahce rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Fenerbahce a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Rizespor
No current absences reported
Fenerbahce
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rizespor win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.2% → 21.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.1%
±0.0 pts
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.7% → 54.7%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rizespor
Fenerbahce
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
1.57
1.29
Goals/Game
2.29
0.86
Conceded/Game
0.86
15.5
Shots/Game
18.3
5.0
Shots on Target
7.7
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Rizespor at home (2 matches) vs Fenerbahce away (4 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.25
0.00
Goals/Game
0.75
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rizespor
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Fenerbahce
Away form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rizespor Wins
0
Draws
1
Fenerbahce Wins
4
Avg Goals
5.0
2026-04-172025-2026
Fenerbahce2 – 2Rizespor
2025-11-232025-2026
Rizespor2 – 5Fenerbahce
2025-02-022024-2025
Fenerbahce3 – 2Rizespor
2024-08-252024-2025
Rizespor0 – 5Fenerbahce
2024-02-172023-2024
Rizespor1 – 3Fenerbahce
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rizespor
vs
Fenerbahce
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 56.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 56.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Rizespor's 10 matches and 3 of Fenerbahce's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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