Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Papara Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.91
Draw
3.88
Away Win
2.28
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
M. Salah (M. Eskihellac) ⚽
4'
N. Saviolo (M. Salah) ⚽
39'
M. Salah (Franculino) ⚽
44'
Ernest Muçi 🟨
48'
Stefan Savić 🟨
71'
M. Salah (O. Tufan) ⚽
80'
André Onana 🟨
82'
Mohamed Salah 🟨
82'
87'
🟥 Lesley Ugochukwu
90+3'
🟨 Leroy Sané
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
7
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
18
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Trabzonspor (4-2-3-1)
A. Onana
W. Pina
C. Nwaiwu
S. Savic
M. Eskihellac
M. Kabasakal
Fabinho
M. Salah
E. Muci
N. Saviolo
Franculino
Galatasaray (4-2-3-1)
U. Cakir
R. Sallai
D. Sanchez
A. Bardakci
I. Jakobs
L. Torreira
Gabriel Sara
L. Sane
Y. Akgun
R. Leao
D. Gul
Player Ratings ?
Trabzonspor
Mohamed SalahM10.0
FabinhoM7.7
André OnanaG7.5
Galatasaray
Gabriel SaraM7.2
Leroy SanéM6.9
Rafael LeãoM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Galatasaray edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Galatasaray stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Galatasaray stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Galatasaray slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Galatasaray have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures, whereas Trabzonspor record two wins and two draws from their home outings over that same span. Trabzonspor have scored in four of their last five home matches, yet they have kept just one clean sheet during that identical period. Both sides carry significant selection concerns ahead of this clash, with four players unavailable for Trabzonspor and another four missing from Galatasaray's squad. Galatasaray rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 4 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Galatasaray's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Trabzonspor's implied win probability has risen by 5.1 percentage points, while Galatasaray's implied win probability has fallen by 6.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Galatasaray
Galatasaray's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Galatasaray win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
27.2% → 32.3%
+5.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.2% → 25.2%
+1.0 pts
Galatasaray win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.7% → 42.6%
−6.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Trabzonspor
Draw
Galatasaray
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TrabzonsporGalatasaray
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
2nd
6
Games Played
5
1.17
Points/Game
2.60
1.50
Goals/Game
2.60
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.20
14.2
Shots/Game
22.7
6.5
Shots on Target
7.7
Home vs Away Context
Trabzonspor at home (4 matches) vs Galatasaray away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
3.75
Goals/Game
1.75
0.25
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Trabzonspor
Home form
D
D
L
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Galatasaray
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Trabzonspor Wins
1
Draws
1
Galatasaray Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.6
Trabzonspor2 – 1Galatasaray
Galatasaray0 – 0Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor0 – 2Galatasaray
Galatasaray4 – 3Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor1 – 5Galatasaray
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Trabzonsporvs
Galatasaray
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.30
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 65.5%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.6%→Latest 67.4%+5.8 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Trabzonspor's 10 matches and 5 of Galatasaray's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?