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Netherlands vs Japan Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 1
FT2–2
Sunday 14 June 2026  ·  20:00 UTC  ·  AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Match Report

Match Events ?
51'V. van Dijk (R. Gravenberch)Netherlands
57'K. Nakamura (T. Kubo)Japan
61'🟨C. Summerville Netherlands
64'C. Summerville (R. Gravenberch)Netherlands
83'🟨M. Depay Netherlands
88'D. Kamada (K. Ogawa)Japan
90'🟨M. van de Ven Netherlands
Match Statistics ?
Netherlands
Japan
60%
Possession
40%
6
Shots on Target
3
10
Total Shots
10
5
Corners
4
7
Fouls
7
0.79
xG
0.54
Player Ratings ?
Netherlands
8.3Crysencio SummervilleF
7.9Virgil van DijkD
7.5Jan Paul van HeckeD
Japan
8.0Zion SuzukiG
7.7Keito NakamuraM
7.3Daichi KamadaM
Starting Lineups ?
Netherlands · 4-3-3
1GBart Verbruggen
22DDenzel Dumfries
6DJan Paul van Hecke
4DVirgil van Dijk
15DMicky van de Ven
8MRyan Gravenberch
21MFrenkie de Jong
14MTijjani Reijnders
24FCrysencio Summerville
18FDonyell Malen
11FCody Gakpo
Japan · 3-4-2-1
1GZion Suzuki
16DTsuyoshi Watanabe
3DShogo Taniguchi
21DHiroki Itō
10MRitsu Doan
24MKaishu Sano
15MDaichi Kamada
13MKeito Nakamura
8FTakefusa Kubo
11FDaizen Maeda
18FAyase Ueda

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Netherlands 42%Draw 27%Japan 31%
xG: 1.34Expected goalsxG: 1.11

Netherlands vs Japan looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
46%
Netherlands to Win
Home: 46%  Draw: 28%  Away: 26%
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Netherlands: 1622 (#8)  ·  Japan: 1586 (#14)
H2H Record ?
2–1–0
Netherlands leads
Avg 2.7 goals/game · 3 meetings
Netherlands
Japan
#3
Position ?
#2
1
Points ?
1
0W 1D 0L
Record ?
0W 1D 0L
2
Goals For ?
2
2
Goals Against ?
2
0
Goal Diff
0
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#18
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.9%
D
Form ?
D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
1Netherlands
0Draw
0Japan
19 Jun 2010FIFA World CupNetherlands1–0NJapan
Last 3 Meetings (All Competitions)
2Netherlands
1Draw
0Japan
16 Nov 2013FriendlyNetherlands2–2NJapan
19 Jun 2010World CupNetherlands1–0NJapan
5 Sep 2009FriendlyNetherlands3–0Japan
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