Netherlands vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ Group Stage, Match 2
🌤️Mainly Clear35°C / 95°F
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
1.70
57%
DRAW
3.96
24%
AWAY WIN
5.05
19%
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Expected: Netherlands by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Netherlands 67%Draw 21%Sweden 11%
xG: 1.84Expected goalsxG: 0.60
Netherlands vs Sweden looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Netherlands has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Netherlands by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
57%
Netherlands to Win
Home: 57% Draw: 24% Away: 19%
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
Netherlands stronger
Netherlands: 1622 (#8) · Sweden: 1420 (#35)
H2H Record ?
4–4–2
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.1 goals/game · 10 meetings
Netherlands
Sweden
#3
Position ?
#1
1
Points ?
3
0W 1D 0L
Record ?
1W 0D 0L
2
Goals For ?
5
2
Goals Against ?
1
0
Goal Diff
+4
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#38
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
D
Form ?
W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
19 Jun 1974FIFA World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
10 Oct 2017WC QualNetherlands2–0Sweden
6 Sep 2016WC QualSweden1–1Netherlands
11 Oct 2011Euro QualSweden3–2Netherlands
12 Oct 2010Euro QualNetherlands4–1Sweden
19 Nov 2008FriendlyNetherlands3–1Sweden
18 Aug 2004FriendlySweden2–2Netherlands
26 Jun 2004UEFA EuroSweden0–0NNetherlands
27 Apr 1983FriendlyNetherlands0–3Sweden
4 Sep 1974FriendlySweden1–5Netherlands
19 Jun 1974World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.1 goals across their last 10 meetings.
Clear model favourite: Netherlands at 67% win probability.